PR86714

LONDON, Nov. 25, 2020 /PRNewswire=KYODO JBN/ --

- Globally deaths from terrorism fell for the fifth consecutive year in 2019 to

13,826, a 15 per cent decrease from the prior year

- In North America, Western Europe and Oceania, far-right attacks have

increased by 250 per cent since 2014 - they are higher now than at any time in

the last 50 years

- 63 countries recorded at least one death from terrorism, the lowest number since 2013

- The global economic impact of terrorism was US$16.4 billion in 2019, a

decrease of 25 per cent from the previous year

- ISIL's centre of gravity moves to sub-Saharan Africa with total deaths by

ISIL in the region increasing by 67%

- ISIL and their affiliates were also responsible for attacks in 27 countries in 2019

The 2020 Global Terrorism Index (GTI) has found that deaths from terrorism fell

for the fifth consecutive year since peaking in 2014. The number of deaths has

now decreased by 59 per cent since 2014 to 13,826. Conflict remains the primary

driver of terrorism, with over 96 per cent of deaths from terrorism in 2019

occurring in countries already in conflict.

The annual Global Terrorism Index, now in its eighth year, is developed by

leading think tank the Institute of Economics and Peace (IEP)

[https://www.economicsandpeace.org/ ]and provides the most comprehensive

resource on global terrorism trends.

The largest decreases in deaths occurred in Afghanistan and Nigeria, however

they are still the only two countries to have experienced more than 1,000

deaths from terrorism. The fall in deaths was also reflected in country scores,

with 103 improving compared to 35 that deteriorated. This is the highest number

of countries to record a year-on-year improvement since the inception of the index.

Despite the overall fall in the global impact of terrorism, it remains a

significant and serious threat in many countries. There were 63 countries in

2019 that recorded at least one death from a terrorist attack, and the largest

increase in terrorism occurred in Burkina Faso – where deaths rose by 590 per

cent. Other countries to deteriorate substantially are Sri Lanka, Mozambique,

Mali and Niger.

Some of the other key findings:

- The ten countries with the highest impact from terrorism are: Afghanistan,

Iraq, Nigeria, Syria, Somalia, Yemen, Pakistan, India, Democratic Republic of

Congo and the Philippines

- For the second year in a row South Asia is the region most impacted by terrorism,

while Central America and the Caribbean region recorded the lowest impact

- MENA recorded the largest regional improvement in terrorism for the second

consecutive year, recording the lowest number of deaths since 2003

Steve Killelea, Executive Chairman of IEP: "As we enter a new decade we are

seeing new threats of terrorism emerge. The rise of the far-right in the West

and the deteriorations in the Sahel are prime examples. Additionally, as seen

in the recent attacks in France and Austria, many smaller groups sympathetic to

ISIL philosophies are still active. To break these influences three major

initiatives are needed – to break their media coverage and online social

networks, disrupt their funding and lessen the number of sympathisers."

The GTI uses a number of factors to calculate its score, including the number

of incidences, fatalities, injuries and property damage. The Taliban remained

the world's deadliest terrorist group in 2019; however, terrorist deaths

attributed to the group declined by 18 per cent. ISIL's strength and influence

also continued to decline, for the first time since the group became active it

was responsible for less than a thousand deaths in any one year.  

Despite the decrease in activity from ISIL in the Middle East and North Africa,

ISIL's affiliate groups remain active across the world, with 27 countries

recording an attack by ISIL or its affiliates. Sub-Saharan Africa has been hit

the hardest, with seven of the ten countries with the largest increases in

terrorism deaths residing in the region. ISIL affiliates are mainly responsible

for the increase with 41 per cent of all ISIL related deaths occurring in

sub-Saharan Africa.

For North America, Western Europe, and Oceania, the threat of far-right

political terrorism has been rising over the past five years. In these regions

far-right incidents increased by 250 per cent between 2014 and 2019. There were

89 deaths attributed to far-right terrorists in 2019. Over the past decade

measures of societal resilience have been falling in many of the economically

advanced economies. This trend is likely to continue because of the extended

economic downturn caused by COVID-19, which is likely to increase political

instability and violence.  

Since COVID-19 was declared a global pandemic by the World Health Organization

(WHO) in March 2020, preliminary data suggests a decline in both incidents and

deaths from terrorism in most regions in the world. However, the COVID-19

pandemic is likely to present new and distinct counter-terrorism challenges. It

is important that counter-terrorism initiatives are not curtailed because of

decreases in government expenditure due to the economic downturn. Reductions in

international assistance for counter-terrorism operations in MENA and

sub-Saharan Africa could prove to be counter-productive.

Thomas Morgan, Senior Research Fellow at IEP, explains the findings: "Between

2011 and 2019, riots and violent demonstrations in the West increased by 277

per cent. There are serious concerns that the deteriorating economic conditions

will lead to more people becoming alienated and susceptible to extremist propaganda."

The fall in terrorism has also been accompanied by a reduction in the global

economic impact of terrorism, decreasing by 25 per cent to US$16.4 billion in

2019. Compared to other forms of violence such as homicide, armed conflict, and

military expenditure, terrorism is a small percentage of the total global cost

of violence, which was equal to US$14.5 trillion in 2019. However, the true

economic impact of terrorism is much higher as these figures do not account for

the indirect impact on business, investment, and the costs associated with

security agencies in countering terrorism.

Notes to Editors

The full GTI 2020 report and interactive map are available at:

visionofhumanity.org [http://www.visionofhumanity.org/ ]or

economicsandpeace.org  

Follow: @GlobPeaceIndex

Like: facebook.com/globalpeaceindex

Global Terrorism Index (GTI)

The GTI by the Institute for Economics & Peace provides a comprehensive summary

of the key global trends and patterns in terrorism over the last 18 years. The

report ranks 163 countries (99.7 per cent of the world's population) according

to how impacted they are by terrorism. The indicators include the number of

terrorist incidents, fatalities, injuries and property damage.

Global Terrorism Database

The GTI uses data from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) datasets on

terrorism by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses

to Terrorism (START), a Department of Homeland Security Center of Excellence

led by the University of Maryland. It provides the most comprehensive resource

on global terrorist trends.

Institute for Economics & Peace

The Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) is the world's leading think tank

dedicated to developing metrics to analyse peace and to quantify its economic

value. It does this by developing global and national indices, including the

annual Global Peace Index, calculating the economic cost of violence and

understanding Positive Peace which is the attitudes, institutions and

structures that create and sustain peaceful societies.

Logo - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/792052/IEP_Logo.jpg  

Source: Institute for Economics & Peace