The Global Business Barometer improved for the second straight month, with the 3-month outlook for many industries
The Global Business Barometer improved for the second straight month, with the 3-month outlook for many industries moving from "much" to "somewhat" worse
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LONDON, Aug. 6, 2020 /PRNewswire=KYODO JBN/ --
- Executive sentiment about the three-month outlook for the global economy rose
to -16.8 from -27.7 in May (out of a range of -50 to +50)
- China is the first economy covered by the barometer to tip into positive
territory, registering a reading of +2.0
- Only 8.1% of respondents strongly agree that their country is ready to open
and 6.7% strongly agree their company is ready to return to normal operations
Economic recoveries from crises such as the covid-19 pandemic come in many
shapes. The hope everywhere is always that they will be V-shaped, but Us are
the next best thing. Volatile Ws and the dreaded L are the worst-case
scenarios. The latest Global Business Barometer, based on a survey and analysis
conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit and supported by SAS, shows that
as of late June the possibility of U-shaped recovery remains possible.
Ticking closer to positive: The overall barometer reading for the global
economy reached -16.8, the closest it has been to positive territory yet.
Respondents in Latin America and the Asia Pacific led the way, with +18.5 and
+4.0 improvements respectively. Sentiment about the global and regional
economies in North America barely budged from the previous barometer, rising by
+1.5 and +0.2 points, making it the most pessimistic on both accounts.
China, the first economy to turn positive: The three-month outlook for the
Chinese economy among China-based executives tipped into "somewhat better" in
June, though only just at +2.0. This still makes it the first economy to do
since the GBB began in April. The change in sentiment is in stark contrast to
the last GBB when the outlook there soured by -21.9, by far the most among the
twelve main economies surveyed.
The road, less traveled:. Only 8.1% of respondents to the June GBB survey
"strongly agree" that their country is ready to open and only 6.7% "strongly
agree" that their company is ready to return to operating as it had done before
the pandemic. Those figures are chilling whether you read them as recognition
of the scale and scope of the problem or an indictment of global and
country-level responses to covid-19 (or some combination of the two). For them
to improve will require more leaders and policymakers around the world to
demonstrate to everyone that they can be more effective in containing the virus.
About the research
The Global Business Barometer [https://globalbusinessbarometer.economist.com/?utm_source=PR&utm_medium=Phase%203&utm_campaign=GBB%20Phase%203 ]
gauges sentiment towards current events and financial market uncertainty and
explores how businesses are coping today and planning for the future.
About The Economist Intelligence Unit
The Economist Intelligence Unit is the thought leadership, research and
analysis division of The Economist Group and the world leader in global
business intelligence for executives. We uncover novel and forward-looking
perspectives with access to over 650 expert analysts and editors across 200
countries worldwide. More information can be found on
www.eiuperspectives.economist.com.
Follow us on Twitter [https://twitter.com/TheEIU ],
LinkedIn [https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-economist-intelligence-unit/ ] and
Facebook [https://www.facebook.com/TheEIU ].
About SAS
SAS [http://www.sas.com/recover ]is the leader in analytics. Through innovative
software and services, SAS empowers and inspires customers around the world to
transform data into intelligence. SAS gives you THE POWER TO KNOW(R).
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Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit
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