Global CEOs Realistic About Growth in the Face of Unprecedented Headwinds
Global CEOs Realistic About Growth in the Face of Unprecedented Headwinds
PR73618
LONDON, May 24, 2018 /PRNewswire=KYODO JBN/--
-- 55 percent predict cautious revenue growth of less than 2 percent over next
3 years: 4th annual KPMG International survey
- Repositioning their business to meet the needs of Millennials is a
priority for 38 percent.
- Geopolitics hits the boardroom, with territorialism named as top threat
to growth.
- Half say becoming a victim of a cyber attack is inevitable.
Despite being relatively bullish on the economy at large as well as their
overall outlook for their country, optimism from global CEOs is tempered by a
healthy dose of realism, with half (55 percent) predicting cautious topline
revenue growth for their own business. Half of CEOs (52 percent) say they will
need to hit growth targets before hiring new skills. According to the KPMG
Global CEO Outlook (
), they are driving growth against a backdrop of significant demographic
shifts, geopolitical volatility and the seemingly inevitable future cyber
attack. CEOs are stepping up to the cyber challenge, in particular, with 59
percent saying they feel a personal responsibility for protecting customer
data.
"CEOs are harnessing the headwinds of change to steer their organizations to
growth," said Bill Thomas, Chairman, KPMG International. "CEOs I'm talking with
recognize that geopolitical uncertainty, disruption and cyber threats are their
new normal. The best are looking for the opportunities this creates, changing
their systems, and in some cases their entire business. It's clear that driving
growth in 2018 and beyond will require CEOs to combine resourcefulness and
realism in equal measure."
Stepping up to the challenge of an uncertain world
CEOs play an essential role in pivoting their organizations to the consumers of
tomorrow in order to seize every opportunity to grow, with four in ten (38
percent) responding that their business requires repositioning to meet the
needs of Millennials. There's also a growing sense of inevitability of a cyber
breach with nearly half (49 percent) of CEOs saying that becoming the victim of
an attack is a case of 'when' and not 'if'. Given the current geopolitical
environment, it's perhaps not surprising that a 'return to territorialism' was
named the number one threat to growth this year.
Driving realistic growth
CEOs are optimistic about the macroeconomic environment; they are confident
about global and industry growth prospects (67 and 78 percent, respectively).
They're also feeling confident in their individual country growth (74 percent
are confident, although this is down 3 percentage points from 2017). But
there's a more complex story emerging regarding company growth prospects:
- 90 percent are confident in their company's growth prospects (up 7
percentage points from 2017).
- However, only 37 percent plan to increase headcount by more than 6
percent over the next 3 years (down 10 percentage points).
- And 55 percent predict cautious revenue growth of less than 2 percent
over the next 3 years.
Making digital a personal crusade
CEOs are embracing the digital agenda like never before and taking personal
ownership of data and trust.
- 71 percent are personally ready to lead a radical organization
transformation.
- 59 percent see protecting customer data as a critical personal
responsibility.
- Counter to popular opinion, 62 percent expect AI to create more jobs
than it destroys.
Putting instinct over facts
With customer demands changing continually, and the technology landscape in a
constant state of flux, agility and intuition are critical.
- 59 percent believe agility is the new currency of business; indicating
if they're too slow they will be bankrupt.
- More than half (51 percent) are less confident in the accuracy of
predictive analytics compared to historic data, and have the highest
trust for social media sources over all others.
- 67 percent admitted they have relied on their own intuition over data-
driven insights to make strategic decisions in the past 3 years.
"Data is hugely important, but ultimately CEOs have to make big calls and it's
clear that experience and intuition still have a role to play," said Thomas.
Rising cyber threats
The ever-present risk of a cyber security threat is rising on the radar, up
from fifth to second place overall this year in terms of risks hampering future
growth. Only half (51 percent) of respondents indicated they are well-prepared
for a cyber attack, even though over half (55 percent) say that a strong cyber
strategy is critical to engender trust with key stakeholders.
Developing markets a focus for growth
Seventy percent say their biggest priority for geographical expansion is
emerging markets, with Central/South America noted as the most important
region.
To view additional information about the study, please visit:
www.kpmg.com/CEOoutlook. You can also follow the conversation @KPMG on Twitter
using the hashtag: #CEOoutlook.
About KPMG's 2018 Global CEO Outlook survey
The survey covers 1,300 CEOs in 11 key markets (Australia, China, France,
Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Spain, UK and US) and 11 key
industry sectors (asset management, automotive, banking, consumer and retail,
energy, infrastructure, insurance, life sciences, manufacturing, technology and
telecoms). A third of the companies surveyed have more than US$10B in annual
revenue, with no responses from companies under US$500M. The survey was
conducted between 22 January and 27 February 2018. NOTE: some figures may not
add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
About KPMG
KPMG is a global network of professional services firms providing Audit, Tax
and Advisory services. We operate in 154 countries and territories and have
200,000 people working in member firms around the world. The independent member
firms of the KPMG network are affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative
("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. Each KPMG firm is a legally distinct
and separate entity and describes itself as such.
For further information: Europe and Asia:
Brian Bannister,
KPMG International,
+44-7919-393753,
Brian.Bannister@kpmg.co.uk;
Americas:
Amy Greenshields,
KPMG International,
+1-416-777-8749,
amygreenshields@kpmg.ca
SOURCE: KPMG International
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