Omdia research shows Global notebook PC shipments with 4.7% Y/Y growth in 2021, driven by 28.7% Y/Y growth of strong Chromebook demand
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LONDON, Oct. 13, 2020 /PRNewswire=KYODO JBN/--
The latest research from leading analyst house Omdia has found that notebook PC
shipments in 2020 will hit 195.7 million units accounting for a 14.1% YoY growth.
Chromebooks have seen the greatest increase in YoY growth with an
increase of 67% accounting for 22.2 million units in 2020.
Omdia forecasts that the growth will continue in 2021 with the market set to
grow by 4.7% accounting for 204.8 million units, while the demand for
Chromebooks will continue to rise in 2021 resulting in 28.7% YoY growth
accounting for 28.6 million units.
Figure: Global notebook PC / Chromebook shipments and YoY change (2018 – 2024)
The key reasons for this growth in demand for 2021 Notebook PCs are:
• Increased capabilities of Notebook PCs in replacing desktops
• Increased demand for learning from home and government subsidy
Jeff Lin, senior principal analyst at Omdia commented: "Social distancing will become
the new normal in 2021 if COVID-19 pandemic is expected to beyond July 2021.
"Under the trend of this new normal, notebook PC shipment will grow
continuously by the replacement of desktop PCs and the rapid expansion of the
age group of notebook PC users"
Increase in replacement of desktop PCs for Notebook PCs the new normal:
The enterprises will change their 2021 desktop PC procurement plan if COVID-19
can't be effectively controlled until 2021, and employees will no longer be
limited to work at specific workplaces because social distancing will become a
new normal in 2021.
Omdia foresees that notebook PC demand for business will likely increases again
in the first half of 2021 by work-from-home (WFH), and enterprises will also
accelerate the improvement of privacy and security of notebook PCs at same time.
Vendors promoting premium Notebook PCs, driven by new GPU supply strategy:
PC vendors will be more actively promoting premium notebook PCs in 2021 because
of new GPU (Graphics Processing Unit) supply strategy - take a certain
purchasing volume of high-end GPU chips first before purchasing entry and
medium level of GPU chips. New supply strategy is caused by increasing cost of
GPU chips by tight production capacity of foundries' advanced semiconductor processes.
Omdia foresees that this new supply strategy will not only accelerate the
growth of gaming notebook PCs (notebook PCs with premium level of GPU chips),
but also will stimulate the new trend of notebook PCs replacing desktop PCs
because the computing performance of those notebook PCs with premium level of
GPU chips are good enough for supporting 3D and AI (Artificial intelligence)
computing requirements by existing desktop PCs.
Rapid expansion of the age group of Notebook PC users since 2020
Since April 2020, the Japanese government has released a new education policy,
making computer programming classes mandatory for all students. In order to
effectively implement this new policy, the Japanese government subsidises all
elementary and junior high school students to purchase one mobile PC device via
Global and Innovation Gateway for All (GIGA) program. Omdia projects that more
than 60% of the GIGA program's device demand will be from Chromebooks, and
fast-growing Chromebook shipments also accelerates expansion the age group of
notebook PC users.
Government Subsidy:
If the COVID-19 pandemic is expected to beyond Jul 2021, Omdia projects that
the need for learning-from-home (LFH) will emerge again in the first half of
2021 from developed and developing countries both.
The British government has begun to plan a subsidy program of notebook PCs for
education in 2021, and the plan is to subsidize £200 to £300 British Pound per
device. Due to the limitation of subsidy amount (ex: £200 to £300 British Pound
by the British government), Omdia expects most of the demand to be for Chromebooks.
About Omdia
Omdia is a global technology research powerhouse, established following the
merger of the research division of Informa Tech (Ovum, Heavy Reading and
Tractica) and the acquired IHS Markit technology research portfolio*.
We combine the expertise of over 400 analysts across the entire technology
spectrum, analyzing 150 markets publishing 3,000 research solutions, reaching
over 14,000 subscribers, and covering thousands of technology, media &
telecommunications companies.
Our exhaustive intelligence and deep technology expertise allow us to uncover
actionable insights that help our customers connect the dots in today's
constantly evolving technology environment and empower them to improve their
businesses – today and tomorrow.
Omdia is a registered trademark of Informa PLC and/or its affiliates. All other
company and product names may be trademarks of their respective owners. Informa
PLC registered in England & Wales with number 8860726, registered office and
head office 5 Howick Place, London, SW1P 1WG, UK. Copyright (c) 2020 Omdia. All
rights reserved.
*The majority of IHS Markit technology research products and solutions were
acquired by Informa in August 2019 and are now part of Omdia.
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SOURCE: Omdia
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