CGTN: Chinese growth will boost global economic recovery in 2023
PR99397
BEIJING, Jan. 5, 2023 /PRNewswire=KYODO JBN/ --
With the lingering impact of COVID-19 and negative spillover from the situation
in Ukraine, the global economy, which has already shown a loss of momentum, is
facing uncertainties.
Continued fiscal and monetary tightening to bring down inflation in several
countries, coupled with supply chain disruptions and decreasing industrial
production, further dim global economic prospects.
The Institute of International Finance based in Washington, D.C. forecasts that
global economic growth will be low but net positive at around 1.2 percent in
2023 and that declines in consumer and business confidence will cause a
2.0-percent decline in average annual GDP growth in Europe.
In the face of multiple challenges, China has maintained the stability of its
economy during the pandemic. It was among the world's first countries to resume
work and reopen businesses in 2020 and became the only major economy to attain
positive growth that year.
"China has managed to minimize the pandemic's impact on its supply chains and
business operations," said Professor Liu Bin at the China Institute for WTO
Studies of the University of International Business and Economics in Beijing.
"Due to China's large role in global trade, its optimized measures and recent
adjustments in pandemic response could inject vitality and provide a timely
boost to the global economy."
China will end its quarantine requirements for international arrivals on
January 8, according to the national health authorities. The policy is among
the latest steps in reopening the country.
Searches for popular cross-border destinations skyrocketed tenfold within half
an hour of the announcement of eased travel restrictions. Meanwhile, searches
for flight tickets and international hotels reached a three-year peak,
according to data from Chinese travel platform Ctrip.
"After refining its epidemic policies, Chinese economic growth is going to
rebound in 2023," Liu told CGTN.
Liu said the speed of the rebound is expected to be faster domestically than in
the international market and that it is important for boosting confidence in
the global economic recovery.
Foreign financial institutions also expressed optimism about the Chinese
economy in the wake of the country's optimization of pandemic prevention
measures. J.P. Morgan Asset Management's forecast shows that China's GDP growth
is expected to rebound to 5.4 percent in 2023. Meanwhile, according to analysts
at U.S. investment bank Goldman Sachs, the overall economic outlook is positive
despite a rise in infection cases.
Foreign companies remain enthusiastic about investing in China despite the
COVID-19 backdrop, with foreign direct investment in the Chinese mainland
rising by 17.4 percent year on year to $168.3 billion in the first 10 months of
2022, according to the Ministry of Commerce.
In a report released in September 2022 by the American Chamber of Commerce in
South China, 76 percent of American companies said they will reinvest in China
by the end of 2022 to expand existing operations.
"Ultimately, working together is the way of the future," said Harley Seyedin,
president of the American Chamber of Commerce in South China, adding that China
will continue to prosper in a peaceful manner that will contribute to the world.
Meanwhile, German foreign direct investment in the Chinese mainland rose by
30.3 percent year on year in the first eight months of 2022, and two-way
accumulated investment exceeded $55 billion, data from China's Ministry of
Commerce shows.
During German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's visit to China in November 2022, about
100 German businessmen applied to join him, and 12 executives were permitted,
including representatives from Siemens, Merck, Deutsche Bank and BioNTech.
As Germany's biggest trade partner for the past six years, China attracted
increased German corporate investment in 2022.
In September, German chemicals group BASF opened a plant in Zhanjiang on the
western coast of Guangdong Province, part of its investment of up to 10 billion
euros ($10.68 billion) by 2030.
The first plant will produce 60,000 tonnes of engineering plastic compounds
annually for the automotive and electronics industries, according to a
corporate statement.
In October, Volkswagen said it would invest about 2.4 billion euros ($2.6
billion) in a joint venture in China to increase automated driving efficiency,
and BMW announced an investment of 10 billion yuan ($1.4 billion) in November
to expand electric vehicle battery production in China.
China has retained its appeal to foreign investors as it continues to expand
market access and streamline foreign investment processes. In 2020, the Foreign
Investment Law took effect to protect the rights and interests of foreign
investors.
For instance, the law requires the government to establish a service system to
provide foreign-funded companies with consultation and services regarding laws,
regulations and investment project information, among other items.
In the first 11 months of 2022, China's trade in goods expanded by 8.6 percent
year on year to 38.34 trillion yuan ($7.47 trillion), according to the General
Administration of Customs.
"As the home to vital global supply chains, the resilience of China's exports
has improved the stability of the global supply chain," Liu said, adding that
in terms of domestic demand, the vast Chinese market will help to stabilize the
global export market.
SOURCE: CGTN
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