Overcoming Cambodia's reliance on few trade partners: An analysis by The Asian Vision Institute
PR83300
PHNOM PENH, Cambodia, March 20, 2020 /PRNewswire=KYODO JBN/ --
The economy of Cambodia is to suffer the effects of two hard blows in the
coming months and years. The first is the European Commission's announced
intention to scale back its "Everything But Arms" (EBA) preferential trade
arrangement with Cambodia and the second is the novel Coronavirus (COVID-19)
pandemic.
These events are laying bare the structural weaknesses of Cambodia's economy,
which is over-reliant on the European Union for market access and on China for
production capacity, investment and tourist inflow. Cambodia's most vulnerable
citizens, particularly women who work in the garment industry, low-skilled
workers and those who have just been lifted from poverty, will feel the brunt
of the fallout.
The Asian Development Bank and the World Bank have each warned policymakers of
the precarious state of the "near poor" in Cambodia. According to official
estimates, the current poverty rate is below 10 percent (compared to 47.8
percent in 2007). Although the nation has achieved great success in its fight
against extreme poverty, more than 70% of Cambodians still live on less than
US$3.20 a day.
The Royal Government introduced short-term measures in late February of 2020 to
help employers sustain their operations, to help workers who have lost their
jobs or whose work has been suspended and to support small and medium
enterprises which are the backbone of the economy. The Royal Government is to
be commended for this. The protection of livelihoods is tantamount to the
protection of human rights.
The measures include tax holidays, direct support, training programs, customs
facilitation and the reduction of government expenditures. For example, owners
of factories that suspend production due to a shortage of raw materials will be
expected to pay 40% of wages while the government will pay an additional 20%.
An enhanced set of reforms and mid to long term measures are to be announced by
the government at the 19th Government-Private Sector Forum on April the 1st,
2020. In the interim, The Asian Vision Institute (AVI) wishes to appeal to the
government to take the following points into consideration.
Measures to support the diversification of markets, of sources of foreign
direct investment, of industrial bases and of domestic start-ups and SMEs
should be made more visible. To that end, a clear set of key performance
indicators (KPI) should be formulated to evaluate and to enhance the
performance of line ministries and agencies.
Secondly, more robust internal government reforms are needed to address
fundamental challenges that existed well before the arrival of the pandemic and
the EBA adjustments. These reforms should focus on areas of weakness as
outlined by the World Bank's "Ease of Doing Business" score assessment for
Cambodia: starting a business, dealing with construction permits, connecting to
the power grid, registering property, obtaining credit, paying taxes, trading
across borders, enforcing contracts, resolving insolvency and others. More
consideration should be given to Cambodia's scoring in the World Economic
Forum's "Global Competitiveness Report".
Thirdly, additional incentive schemes that target specific industrial sectors
should be formulated to support diversification.
Finally, regular progress reviews must be conducted to ensure the effective
implementation of measures and reforms. Each ministry and line agency should
favour a bottom-up approach and take ownership of their technical reforms and
measures to enhance and support the economic resilience and competitiveness of
Cambodia.
Cambodia has enjoyed a period of peace which is unprecedented in her modern
history. To make the most of the dividends at hand, it is imperative that
measures and reforms be bold, be decisive and be undertaken swiftly, for the
good of all.
The Asian Vision Institute (AVI)
is an independent think tank based in Cambodia.
For further information: Dr Chheng Kimlong, Phone: +855-6121-1800, Email:
admin@asianvision.org
SOURCE: Asian Vision Institute
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